Wednesday, June 24, 2015
Monday, June 15, 2015
MUCH ADO ABOUT ABSOLUTELY NOTHING
Thursday, June 11, 2015
Money in the (Foreign) Bank
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Friday, June 5, 2015
THE RANSOMWARE THREAT
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THE HARM IN FINANCIAL JOURNALISM
In most areas of
our lives, the more information you get, and the more up-to-the-minute
it is, the better we can do business and make astute decisions. It is
interesting that investing is one area where the opposite is true.
We're
not talking here about the second-by-second blips on a Bloomberg
terminal that traders and computer algorithms use to make quick-twitch
buys and sells. We're talking about the normal news reports, cable TV investment reports and investing articles that you're
bombarded with on a daily basis. In general, the news and data supplied
by consumer journalists is almost always harmful to your financial
health.
How? Consider profiles of mutual funds and mutual fund managers. The quarterly profiles in Barron's and the articles in Money, Kiplinger's and the Wall Street Journal tend to focus a bright spotlight of attention on the hot funds-that
is, funds that outperformed their peers (and the market) in the
previous quarter. Three months worth of track record is statistical
nonsense, but the hot fund manager is interviewed with breathless
deference normally given to a certified genius. It is interesting that
seldom if ever is the next quarter's genius
the same as the last one. Anyone who invests with the fund of the hour
is in grave danger of suffering a regression to the mean-which means losses when compared with the indices.
Even one-year and
five-year rankings have no predictive value, particularly when the focus
is on outliers who were well ahead of their peers. Meanwhile, when we
aren't reading about hot managers, we're hearing about what the stock market did (or is doing) today. Today's
price movements are, to a statistician, meaningless white noise,
indicative of nothing remotely significant about the future. The markets
go up today, down tomorrow, up for a week, down for a week, and during
each of these time periods, analysts try to tell us the causes of these
random bounces. They would be more productively employed trying to
explain the "causes"behind each of the waves in the ocean, yet we can't
help listening to their plausible explanations as to why this earnings
report, that jobs report, or some other speculation on what the Federal
Reserve Board will or will not do has affected our investment outlook.
And, of course, at
market tops, when new money is chasing returns at the most dangerous
possible time, the news reports are telling us how the markets have been
going up, up, up. When markets are depressed, and it is the best
possible time to put new money to work, the news reports are telling us
all the bad news about months of market losses. Swimming against that
tide is nearly impossible, even for professionals.
There may be meaningful information among this chatter, but it's unlikely that most of us will see it amid the noisy background. Back in the late 1990s, one analyst who couldn't believe how much people were paying for tech stocks finally broke through the background noise by pointing out that Amazon's
share price had reached approximately the same level as the entire
yearly economic output of the nation of Iceland, plus a few 747 cargo
jets to carry it all back to the U.S. Of course, few listened, and the
bursting tech bubble cost a lot of investors a fortune.
Today, we're
being told that the current market rally is long in the tooth, that the
Fed is going to raise rates soon, that market valuations are kind of
high, and of course that certain fund managers did really well last
quarter and yesterday's market was up or down.
The problem is that we were hearing exactly the same things last year
and the year before (remember?), and still the market churned ahead,
cranking out new record highs.
Unlike just about
any other activity you might pursue, the best, most astute way to invest
is to turn off the noise and let the markets carry you where they must.
The short-term drops tend to become buying opportunities in the long
run, and over time, the U.S. and global economies reflect the underlying
growth in value generated by millions of workers who go to work each
day and build that value. Investor sentiment will swing around with the
unhelpful prodding of journalists and pundits, but people who stay the
course have always seen new market highs eventually, while people who
react to every positive or negative report tend to fare much less well.
When it comes to the markets, wisdom trumps up-to-the-minute knowledge
every time.
Maybe somebody should tell that to the journalists.
Sincerely,
Bill Morrissey, CFP® and Tammy Prouty, CFP®
Sound Financial Planning, Inc.
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PLEASE READ THIS WARNING:
All e-mail sent to or from this address will be received or otherwise
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the sender as soon as possible and delete the message without reading it
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Inc. has taken precautions to screen this message for viruses, but we
cannot guarantee that it is virus free nor are we responsible for any
damage that may be caused by this message. Sound Financial Planning,
Inc. only transacts business in states where it is properly registered
or notice filed, or excluded or exempted from registration requirements.
Follow-up and individualized responses that involve either the
effecting or attempting to effect transactions in securities or the
rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, as the
case may be, will not be made absent compliance with state investment
adviser and investment adviser representative registration requirements,
or an applicable exemption or exclusion. This information should not
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TO BOB VERES.
Monday, May 11, 2015
SAVING YOUR ELDERLY PARENTS FROM FINANCIAL FRAUD
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THE A, B, C & D of Medicare
Breaking down the basics & what each part covers.
Whether your 65th birthday is on the horizon or decades away, you should
understand the parts of Medicare - what they cover, and where they come
from. Parts A & B: Original Medicare. America created a national health insurance program for seniors in 1965 with two components. Part A is hospital insurance. It provides coverage for inpatient stays at medical facilities. It can also help cover the costs of hospice care, home health care and nursing home care - but not for long, and only under certain parameters.1
Seniors are frequently warned that Medicare will only pay for a maximum of 100 days of nursing home care (provided certain conditions are met). Part A is the part that does so. Under current rules, you pay $0 for days 1-20 of skilled nursing facility (SNF) care under Part A. During days 21-100, a $157.50 daily coinsurance payment may be required of you.2
If you stop receiving SNF care for 30 days, you need a new 3-day hospital stay to qualify for further nursing home care under Part A. If you can go 60 days in a row without SNF care, the clock resets: you are once again eligible for up to 100 days of SNF benefits via Part A.2
If you have had Medicare taxes withheld from your paycheck for at least 40 calendar quarters during your lifetime, you will get Part A coverage for free.1
Part B is medical insurance and helps pick up some of the tab for outpatient care, physician services, expenses for durable medical equipment (scooters, wheelchairs), and other medical services such as lab tests and varieties of health screenings.1,3
Part B isn't free. You pay monthly premiums to get it and a yearly deductible (plus 20% of costs). The premiums vary according to the Medicare recipient's income level; in 2015, most Medicare recipients pay $104.90 a month for their Part B coverage. The current yearly deductible is $147. Some people automatically get Part B, but others have to sign up for it.2,4
Part C: Medicare Advantage plans. Insurance companies offer these Medicare-approved plans. Part C plans offer seniors all the benefits of Part A and Part B and a great deal more: most feature prescription drug coverage and many include hearing, vision, dental, and fitness benefits. To enroll in a Part C plan, you need to have Part A and Part B coverage in place. To keep up your Part C coverage, you must keep up your payment of Part B premiums as well as your Part C premiums.2
To say not all Part C plans are alike is an understatement. Provider networks, premiums, copays, coinsurance, and out-of-pocket spending limits can all vary widely, so shopping around is wise. During Medicare's annual Open Enrollment Period (Oct. 15 - Dec. 7), seniors can choose to switch out of Original Medicare to a Part C plan or vice versa, although any such move is much wiser with a Medigap policy already in place.5
How does a Medigap plan differ from a Part C plan? Medigap plans (also called Medicare Supplement plans) emerged to address the gaps in Part A and Part B coverage. If you have Part A and Part B already in place, a Medigap policy can pick up some copayments, coinsurance and deductibles for you. Some Medigap policies can even help you pay for medical care outside the United States. You have to pay Part B premiums in addition to Medigap plan premiums to keep a Medigap policy in effect.6
Medigap plans don't feature prescription drug coverage anymore. Medigap policies have been sold without drug coverage since 2005.6
Part D: prescription drug plans. While Part C plans commonly offer prescription drug coverage, insurers also sell Part D plans as a standalone product to those with original Medicare. As per Medigap and Part C coverage, you need to keep paying Part B premiums in addition to premiums for the drug plan to keep Part D coverage going.1,2
Every Part D plan has a formulary, a list of medications covered under the plan. Most Part D plans rank approved drugs into tiers by cost. The good news is that Medicare's website will determine the best Part D plan for you. Go to medicare.gov/find-a-plan to start your search; enter your medications and the website will do the legwork for you.7
Part C & Part D plans are assigned ratings. Medicare annually rates these plans (one star being worst, five stars being best) according to member satisfaction, provider network(s) and quality of coverage. As you search for a plan at medicare.gov, you also have a chance to check out the rankings.8
Citations.
1 - dailyfinance.com/2013/05/14/medicare-explained-part-a-b-c-d/ [5/14/13] 2 - medicare.gov/coverage/skilled-nursing-facility-care.html [3/30/15] 3 - info.tuftsmedicarepreferred.org/medicare-matters-blog/bid/74844/Medicare-Part-A-B-C-and-D-What-does-it-all-mean [10/1/13] 4 - medicare.gov/your-medicare-costs/part-b-costs/part-b-costs.html [3/30/15] 5 - medicare.gov/sign-up-change-plans/when-can-i-join-a-health-or-drug-plan/when-can-i-join-a-health-or-drug-plan.html#collapse-3192 [3/30/15] 6 - medicare.gov/supplement-other-insurance/medigap/whats-medigap.html [3/30/15] 7 - medicare.gov/part-d/coverage/part-d-coverage.html [3/30/15] 8 - medicare.gov/sign-up-change-plans/when-can-i-join-a-health-or-drug-plan/five-star-enrollment/5-star-enrollment-period.html [3/30/15] |
Sincerely,
Bill Morrissey, CFP® and Tammy Prouty, CFP®
Sound Financial Planning, Inc.
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PLEASE READ THIS WARNING:
All e-mail sent to or from this address will be received or otherwise
recorded by the Sound Financial Planning, Inc. corporate e-mail system
and is subject to archival, monitoring and/or review, by and/or
disclosure to, someone other than the recipient. This message is
intended only for the use of the person(s) ("intended recipient") to
whom it is addressed. It may contain information that is privileged and
confidential. If you are not the intended recipient, please contact
the sender as soon as possible and delete the message without reading it
or making a copy. Any dissemination, distribution, copying, or other
use of this message or any of its content by any person other than the
intended recipient is strictly prohibited. Sound Financial Planning,
Inc. has taken precautions to screen this message for viruses, but we
cannot guarantee that it is virus free nor are we responsible for any
damage that may be caused by this message. Sound Financial Planning,
Inc. only transacts business in states where it is properly registered
or notice filed, or excluded or exempted from registration requirements.
Follow-up and individualized responses that involve either the
effecting or attempting to effect transactions in securities or the
rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, as the
case may be, will not be made absent compliance with state investment
adviser and investment adviser representative registration requirements,
or an applicable exemption or exclusion. This information should not
be construed as investment advice. All information is believed to be
from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its
completeness or accuracy. WE WOULD LIKE TO CREDIT THIS ARTICLE'S CONTENT
TO MARKETING PRO INC.
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