Monday, January 30, 2012

RATES AND POLITICS

If you're curious abut the political implications of the Romney tax returns, this cartoon pretty much says it all: http://news.yahoo.com/comics/mike-luckovich-slideshow/. Or, for many Americans, this: http://news.yahoo.com/comics/pat-oliphant-slideshow/.

The recent release of Republican presidential candidate Willard "Mitt" Romney's 2010 and 2011 tax records--all 500 pages of them--has generated a lot of buzz among financial types and mainstream voters. Indeed, people who work with financial planners might be wondering: "why the heck can't my advisor get my federal taxes down to a 14% rate? Couldn't I be parking money in Bermuda (page 52 of the 2011 return) Switzerland (position sold in 2010 after the Swiss bank UBS came under federal investigation for facilitating tax fraud) and the Cayman Islands (called "various countries" on the return) if my advisor were just a little more creative?"

You can see the estimated 2011 return for yourself here: http://mittromney.com/learn/mitt/tax-return/2011/wmr-adr-return, although the home address and the Social Security numbers for Willard M. and Ann D. Romney have been blacked out. What you DO see is a little over $4 million in taxable interest, a little over $3 million in dividends, $10.7 million in capital gains, $2.8 million in income from rental real estate, $110,500 as a member of (the listed profession) "independent artists, writers, performers" and zero for wages or salaries. The estimated tax bill: $3,226,623--about 14% of the nearly $21 million in total income.

This percentage could go down between now and the next filing date. Page 11 of the return says that the Romneys expect to receive a foreign tax credit, which is not yet factored into the tax payment. Pages 30, 31, 32, 33, 34 and 35 note that the K-1 tax information on various partnerships (one called "Rob Rom Enterprises, LLC") is also unavailable, and the tax calculation "may change significantly when the final 2011 K-1 is received."

If you're feeling envious of the low rates, and the fact that much of it was exempt from Social Security payroll taxes, you aren't alone; according to one report, Romney's secretary paid taxes at a higher marginal rate.

There are several ways to look the situation. One is that Romney actually paid MORE than his fair share--in fact, you could argue that he paid much more.

How? The argument goes something like this: if you walked into the grocery story to buy a loaf of bread, would the cost be dependent on your income? If it was, the average American would be paying roughly $2.00 while Mr. Romney's cost would be closer to $300. If we all receive the same basic package of services from the government, and the total cost is about $6 trillion, then each of the 300 million people who live in America would owe about $20,000. Mr. Romney, by paying about $3 million a year, might be considered to be overpaying for his share of those governmental services.

Another way to look at it is that people who have more income or assets have more to protect, and therefore need those government services more than most. A progressive tax system that is capped at the top forces wealthier people to pay proportionately more, but they also get to keep a majority of what they earn. If you buy this philosophy, then the question becomes: how do you decide what is fair for everybody, the high earners as well as the low earners?

One traditional answer is that everybody should pay something. You hear a lot about low-income wage earners paying no income taxes, but in fact they are all required to pay Social Security payroll taxes, which are actually higher than income taxes for the majority of Americans. On the other end of the wealth spectrum, there are so many nuances to the tax code, so many deductions and loopholes, that it was possible for General Electric to largely escape corporate taxes. That isn't possible for individuals, ever since, in 1969, the U.S. Treasury Department disclosed that 155 high-income households had paid no income taxes. In the ensuing uproar, Congress passed the alternative minimum tax--and has been trying to fix it ever since.

There were two reasons why candidate Romney was able to escape the highest tax rate. The first is that his "job" at Bain Capital Management was to--as Warren Buffett has recently described it--"move money around." Specifically, he was investing his own and others' money into companies and then restructuring them. People on Wall Street and in Silicon Valley will tell you that this is real work, hard work, but all too often the result is to shift money from the company to the pockets of the investors. For this sort of work, the tax code applies the same tax rate as the taxes on dividends and capital gains--15% at the high end--rather than the maximum 35% rate that a corporate employee earning similar compensation would have to pay. Even somebody who sweeps the floors or answers the phone at Bain's offices, who earns more than $35,000, would pay taxes at a 25% rate.

The second--lesser--reason why candidate Romney's taxes were so low is that he voluntarily gave $2.6 million a year to his church and a total of more than $4 million in total to charities (Schedule A and page 68). One could argue that his actual financial contribution to society--to his church, to the Bush presidential library, to other charities and the federal government--was actually $7 million a year. That amount would equal roughly a 33% tax rate.

If nothing else, those voluminous tax returns, detailing offshore accounts, capital gains taxes for the same kind of work that corporate executives do and charitable donations, will create a new awareness of the implications of different candidates' positions on tax reform. The New York Times recently noted that candidate Romney's own tax reform proposals would require him to pay less than he does now, suggesting that he supports the idea that he's paying more than his fair share. The Newt Gingrich tax proposal would, if passed, essentially eliminate candidate Romney's tax burden altogether. Interestingly, Mr. Romney has labeled this "irresponsible."

One additional note: the Romney tax return checked the boxes to donate $3 for each spouse to support the Presidential Election Campaign.

Romney taxes: http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/mitt-romney-tax-returns-show-more-43-million-135129751.html

http://mittromney.com/learn/mitt/tax-return/main

http://money.cnn.com/2012/01/26/news/economy/romney_tax_returns/

http://news.yahoo.com/mitt-romney-reveals-tax-records-paid-3m-taxes-221209778--abc-news.html

NY Times: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/25/us/politics/romneys-tax-returns-show-21-6-million-income-in-10.html?pagewanted=2&_r=1


Sincerely,
William T. Morrissey and Tammy Prouty
Sound Financial Planning Inc.
wtmorrissey@soundfinancialplanning.net
Primary Office
425 Commercial Street, Suite 203
Mount Vernon, WA 98273
Phone: (360) 336-6527
Secondary Office
650 Mullis St., Suite 101
Friday Harbor, WA 98250
(360) 378-3022

PLEASE READ THIS WARNING: All e-mail sent to or from this address will be received or otherwise recorded by the Sound Financial Planning, Inc. corporate e-mail system and is subject to archival, monitoring and/or review, by and/or disclosure to, someone other than the recipient. This message is intended only for the use of the person(s) ("intended recipient") to whom it is addressed. It may contain information that is privileged and confidential. If you are not the intended recipient, please contact the sender as soon as possible and delete the message without reading it or making a copy. Any dissemination, distribution, copying, or other use of this message or any of its content by any person other than the intended recipient is strictly prohibited. Sound Financial Planning, Inc. has taken precautions to screen this message for viruses, but we cannot guarantee that it is virus free nor are we responsible for any damage that may be caused by this message. Sound Financial Planning, Inc. only transacts business in states where it is properly registered or notice filed, or excluded or exempted from registration requirements. Follow-up and individualized responses that involve either the effecting or attempting to effect transactions in securities or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, as the case may be, will not be made absent compliance with state investment adviser and investment adviser representative registration requirements, or an applicable exemption or exclusion. This information should not be construed as investment advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. WE WOULD LIKE TO CREDIT THIS ARTICLE'S CONTENT TO BOB VERES.

Thursday, January 12, 2012

HOSTAGES IN THE DEBT NEGOTIATIONS

Everybody knows that the Greek government has issued more debt than it can possibly repay, which explains why you can buy its government bonds at pennies on the dollar. Today's secondary markets are pricing Greek 10-year issues at prices that give buyers a jaw-dropping 35% yearly coupon return. By comparison, comparable Treasury securities issued by the U.S. government (which are NOT expected to default) are yielding less than 2%. Germany recently issued bonds at rates even lower.

The discounts have the certainty of default priced into them, and, indeed, the Bloomberg news organization reports that the Greek government has been quietly asking its creditors to accept a 60% reduction in interest payments--which would still keep rates around the 14% level. Meanwhile, the German and French governments have persuaded European banks to exchange their Greek bonds for new securities with longer maturities and lower coupon rates.

The effort to put the Greek debt crisis safely behind us has recently hit a snag, under circumstances that might interest the Occupy Wall Street crowd. According to the New York Times, a small group of hedge funds have been aggressively buying up Greek debt at pennies on the dollar, and now are refusing to negotiate any kind of a haircut. They're betting that the European governments will eventually have to pay them the full face value of the bonds they bought at huge discounts--giving them big windfall profits at a time when everybody else is accepting losses for the sake of long-term Euro stability.

It may work. If Greece is forced to break off negotiations, formally default and unilaterally impose the 60% haircut, that default legally becomes a so-called "credit event." A credit event would trigger the payment provisions of untold numbers of derivative contracts, which are basically private insurance policies called credit default swaps. The issuers of those contracts--chiefly those same European banks--would suddenly have to pay face value for the Greek bonds that everybody else is buying at a discount. But only if there is a credit event.

Nobody outside the European Central Bank knows exactly how many of these derivatives are held by European lending institutions, but it is clear from the nature of the negotiations that all parties are carefully avoiding this trigger event. The hedge funds, by demanding either full payment or a credit event, seem to have figured out a way to hold the entire European banking system hostage to their demands for outsized profits.

The story offers a rare view inside the negotiating rooms where the European sovereign debt crisis is being managed, and suggests that responsible parties are, behind the scenes, working to resolve the European Sovereign debt crisis without a lot of the fanfare you see in breathless headlines. As the bank negotiations move forward, the "crisis" might not be as dire as the headlines make it out to be. There is even a chance that the hedge funds' greedy stand could backfire. The ECB is now inserting what are called "collective actions clauses" in their agreements with banks, which would let the lenders impose the concessions they had to make on all bondholders if a majority of holders agree to it. The hedge funds would either have to acquire a majority of Greek debt or lose their leverage--and most of their hoped-for windfall.

Greek bond rates: http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/GGGB10YR:IND/chart

Proposed haircut on Greek debt: http://blogs.wsj.com/eurocrisis/2012/01/09/2012-kicks-off-in-a-bad-way-for-euro/

Hedge fund blackmail: http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-01-11/hedge-funds-trying-to-profit-from-greece-as-banks-face-losses.html

Sincerely,
William T. Morrissey and Tammy Prouty
Sound Financial Planning Inc.
wtmorrissey@soundfinancialplanning.net
Primary Office
425 Commercial Street, Suite 203
Mount Vernon, WA 98273
Phone: (360) 336-6527
Secondary Office
650 Mullis St., Suite 101
Friday Harbor, WA 98250
(360) 378-3022

PLEASE READ THIS WARNING: All e-mail sent to or from this address will be received or otherwise recorded by the Sound Financial Planning, Inc. corporate e-mail system and is subject to archival, monitoring and/or review, by and/or disclosure to, someone other than the recipient. This message is intended only for the use of the person(s) ("intended recipient") to whom it is addressed. It may contain information that is privileged and confidential. If you are not the intended recipient, please contact the sender as soon as possible and delete the message without reading it or making a copy. Any dissemination, distribution, copying, or other use of this message or any of its content by any person other than the intended recipient is strictly prohibited. Sound Financial Planning, Inc. has taken precautions to screen this message for viruses, but we cannot guarantee that it is virus free nor are we responsible for any damage that may be caused by this message. Sound Financial Planning, Inc. only transacts business in states where it is properly registered or notice filed, or excluded or exempted from registration requirements. Follow-up and individualized responses that involve either the effecting or attempting to effect transactions in securities or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, as the case may be, will not be made absent compliance with state investment adviser and investment adviser representative registration requirements, or an applicable exemption or exclusion. This information should not be construed as investment advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. WE WOULD LIKE TO CREDIT THIS ARTICLE'S CONTENT TO BOB VERES.

Tuesday, January 10, 2012

GETTING OFF ON THE RIGHT FOOT IN 2012

GETTING OFF ON THE RIGHT FOOT IN 2012

A look at some financial changes & the opportunities they may present.

Every year brings some financial change, so here are some relevant changes relating to investment, tax and estate planning for 2012.

Retirement plans. 401(k), 403(b) and 457 plan annual contribution limits rise slightly to $17,000, and you can contribute an additional $5,500 to these accounts if you are 50 or older this year. IRA contribution levels are unchanged from 2011: the ceiling is $5,000, $6,000 if you will be 50 or older in 2012.1

As you strive to contribute as much as you comfortably can to these accounts this year, you will probably notice some changes with the retirement plan at your workplace. In 2012, retirement plan sponsors (i.e., employers) will have to note all of the fees and expenses linked to the funds in the plan to plan participants. So if you have a 401(k) or 403(b), you may notice some differences in the disclosures on your statements and you will probably notice more information coming your way about fees. There is also a push in Washington, D.C. to have financial companies provide lifetime income illustrations on retirement plan account statements, projections of your expected monthly benefit at retirement age.2

Income taxes. Wealthy Americans are set to face greater income tax burdens in 2013, so 2012 may be the last year to take advantage of certain factors. For example, the top tax bracket in 2013 is slated to be at 39.6% instead of the current 35%. This year, capital gains and dividends will be taxed at 15% or less for everyone, 0% for those in the 10% and 15% tax brackets. In 2013, the qualified capital gains tax rate is scheduled to rise to 20% and qualified dividends will be taxed as ordinary income. So taking a little more income in 2012 could be smart.3

In 2013, the wealthiest Americans are supposed to be hit with new Medicare taxes: a new 3.8% levy on unearned income (such as capital gains, income from real estate, dividends and interest) and a new 0.9% tax or earned income. So next year, the truly wealthy could effectively face in the neighborhood of 45% federal taxes.3

Additionally, the IRS is planning to limit itemized deductions for upper-income taxpayers in 2013. A phase-out will also apply for the personal exemption deduction.3

Estate & gift taxes. At the end of 2012, some very nice estate tax breaks could sunset. Barring action by Congress, 2013 could see a 20% leap in the federal estate tax rate from 35% to 55%. The individual estate tax exclusion (currently $5.12 million) is scheduled to be reduced to $1 million.3

As we have unified gift and estate tax rates, those numbers and percentages also apply to gift taxes. That is, from 2012 to 2013 top federal gift tax rate is set to go from 35% to 55% and the lifetime gift tax exemption amount is scheduled to fall $4,120,000 per individual to $1 million. The annual gift tax exemption is $13,000 per recipient in 2012; there is an exemption limit for qualifying educational and medical payments. If you want to gift relatives or friends, you may want to avoid procrastinating for another very good reason: when you make such a gift early in a year, the recipient will gain both the principal and any appreciation tied to the gifted asset in that year.3,4

Speaking of gifts, we said goodbye to charitable IRA gifts in 2011. The IRA charitable rollover, a boon to non-profits and a handy tax deduction option for taxpayers older than age 70½, was not extended into 2012, not even temporarily as a sweetener to the payroll tax extension bill. There is hope it will be back. Two bills have been introduced in Congress with that goal, one sponsored by Sen. Olympia Snowe (R-ME) and Sen. Charles Schumer (D-NY) and another by Rep. Wally Herger (R-CA) and Rep. Earl Blumenauer (D-OR). The proposed legislation would let IRA owners start making charitable IRA gifts at age 59½ and remove the $100,000 limit on the rollovers.5

The limits on the generation-skipping transfer tax could change, too: assuming the Bush-era tax cuts do sunset, the GSTT rate would jump from 35% this year to 55% in 2013, with the GSTT exemption falling from $5,120,000 per person this year to roughly $1.3 million per person next year.3

So given all these changes, it might be wise to meet with the financial professional you know and trust early in 2012 as you strive to start the year off on the right foot. You have until April 17 to file your federal return, but you can plan now.

Citations.
1 - www.irs.gov/retirement/article/0,,id=96461,00.html [10/20/11]
2 - www.marketwatch.com/story/retirement-plan-changes-coming-in-2012-2011-12-29 [12/29/11]
3 - www.sbnonline.com/2012/01/how-to-approach-tax-and-estate-planning-opportunities-for-2012/?full=1 [1/3/12]
4 - advisorone.com/2012/01/06/10-tax-tips-for-advisors-in-2012 [1/6/12]
5 - www.northjersey.com/news/business/business_opinion/136217658_Payroll_tax_cut_benefits_charities.html [12/25/11]

Sincerely,
William T. Morrissey and Tammy Prouty
Sound Financial Planning Inc.
wtmorrissey@soundfinancialplanning.net
Primary Office
425 Commercial Street, Suite 203
Mount Vernon, WA 98273
Phone: (360) 336-6527
Secondary Office
650 Mullis St., Suite 101
Friday Harbor, WA 98250
(360) 378-3022

PLEASE READ THIS WARNING: All e-mail sent to or from this address will be received or otherwise recorded by the Sound Financial Planning, Inc. corporate e-mail system and is subject to archival, monitoring and/or review, by and/or disclosure to, someone other than the recipient. This message is intended only for the use of the person(s) ("intended recipient") to whom it is addressed. It may contain information that is privileged and confidential. If you are not the intended recipient, please contact the sender as soon as possible and delete the message without reading it or making a copy. Any dissemination, distribution, copying, or other use of this message or any of its content by any person other than the intended recipient is strictly prohibited. Sound Financial Planning, Inc. has taken precautions to screen this message for viruses, but we cannot guarantee that it is virus free nor are we responsible for any damage that may be caused by this message. Sound Financial Planning, Inc. only transacts business in states where it is properly registered or notice filed, or excluded or exempted from registration requirements. Follow-up and individualized responses that involve either the effecting or attempting to effect transactions in securities or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, as the case may be, will not be made absent compliance with state investment adviser and investment adviser representative registration requirements, or an applicable exemption or exclusion. This information should not be construed as investment advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. WE WOULD LIKE TO CREDIT THIS ARTICLE'S CONTENT TO PETER MONTOYA.